2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

绿色金融对碳排放的影响基于消费结构升级的中介效应

The Impact of Green Finance on Carbon Emissions---the Mediating Effect Based on the Upgrading of Consumption Structure

  • 摘要: 为解决经济与生态平衡问题,我国实施绿色发展战略,创建绿色金融体系,以减少碳排放。本文基于2017年出台的绿色金融改革创新试验区政策作为准自然实验,利用2013—2019年省级面板数据,运用双重差分法实证检验绿色金融政策对碳排放的影响和中介效应。研究发现:绿色金融政策的实施显著抑制了碳排放,且消费结构升级在绿色金融对碳排放的影响中起到部分中介作用。异质性分析表明,绿色金融对碳排放的抑制作用在经济发展水平较低、第三产业占比较低以及碳排放强度较高的省份更显著。因此,要发挥好试点地区先行先试的作用、倡导全民“绿色低碳”消费进而推进消费结构升级,同时因地制宜地搞好绿色金融发展。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, China has introduced the concept of “green development” and established a green financial system to address the challenge of balancing economic growth and ecological sustainability. This paper examines the impact and mediating effect of green finance policies on carbon emissions, utilizing the quasi-natural experiment of the green finance reform and innovation pilot zones introduced in 2017. The empirical analysis is conducted using provincial panel data from 2013 to 2019, employing the differential method. The findings demonstrate that the implementation of green finance policies significantly reduces carbon emissions, with the upgrading of consumption structure playing a partial mediating role in this relationship. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the inhibitory effect of green finance on carbon emissions is more pronounced in provinces with lower levels of economic development, a smaller proportion of tertiary industry, and higher carbon emission intensity. Therefore, it is imperative to leverage the role of pilot areas, promote “green and low-carbon” consumption among the general population to drive the upgrading of consumption structure, and tailor the development of green finance to local conditions.

     

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