2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

新型城镇化综合试点政策对农业新质生产力的影响研究基于四川省地级市面板数据

Research on the Impact of the New Urbanization Comprehensive Pilot Policy on the New Quality Productivity of AgricultureBased on the Panel Data of Prefecture-Level Cities in Sichuan Province

  • 摘要: 新型城镇化是提升农业现代化水平的重要引擎,对推动农业新质生产力提升、促进城乡融合发展具有重大意义。本文将新型城镇化综合试点政策作为准自然实验,基于2012—2022年四川省18个地级市的面板数据,运用多期双重差分模型探究新型城镇化试点政策对四川省农业新质生产力的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:(1)新型城镇化显著促进了试点地区农业新质生产力水平的提升,在经过一系列稳健性检验后结论依然成立。(2)对影响机制进行分析后发现,新型城镇化通过促进劳动力优化配置、促进农业绿色智能化发展来提升农业新质生产力。(3)新型城镇化对农村居民恩格尔系数较大与城乡居民收入差距较大的地区以及川南经济区的农业新质生产力提升效应更明显。(4)新型城镇化在推动农业新质生产力发展、降低城乡差距的同时促进了城乡融合,并且对高水平城乡融合地区的农业新质生产力发展助力更大。

     

    Abstract: New urbanization is an important engine to enhance the level of agricultural modernization, which is significantly important for promoting new quality productive forces in agriculture and facilitating integrated urban-rural development. This paper utilizes the integrated pilot policy for new urbanization as a quasi-natural experiment and employs a time-varying difference-in-differences (DID) model to investigate the impact and mechanism of the pilot policy for new urbanization on new quality productive forces in agriculture in Sichuan Province based on the panel data of 18 prefecture-level cities in Sichuan Province from 2012 to 2022. The results show that: (1) New urbanization substantially enhances the level of new quality productive forces in agriculture of the pilot areas. And the conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests. (2) Mechanistic analysis finds that new urbanization promotes the new quality productive of agriculture through optimizing labor allocation and promoting green and intelligent development of agriculture. (3) The results of the heterogeneity analysis shows that the new urbanization has a more remarkable effect on the enhancement of new quality productive forces in agriculture in areas where the Engel’s coefficient of rural residents and the income disparity between urban and rural residents are large, as well as in the economic zone of southern Sichuan. (4) Further research reveals that new urbanization boosts integrated urban-rural development while promoting the development of agricultural new quality productive force and reducing the urban-rural gap, and that it significantly contributes to the development of new quality productive force in areas with high levels of integrated urban-rural development.

     

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